新冠肺炎疫情全球预测

Global Prediction of COVID-19 Pandemic

瑞士

Switzerland

瑞士 (Switzerland)

瑞士总人口约851万人,自2020年5月31日起参加抗议活动人数累计可达2万人左右。假设瑞士于7月初完全解封,二次暴发将在8月初达到峰值,每日新增确诊病例约为400例,叠加抗议活动影响后每日新增确诊病例将增长至约800例。随着管控措施的再次实施,二次暴发将于10月逐步减弱平息,累计确诊病例总数达到5.5万例左右。


Switzerland has a population of about 8.51 million and the number of protesters has reached about 20,000 since May 31, 2020. Assuming that Switzerland completely lifts lockdown in early July, the second outbreak would peak in early August, with daily new confirmed cases of about 400. After adding influence factor of protest to prediction model, the number of daily new confirmed cases will reach about 800. Due to re-implementation of control measures, the second outbreak will gradually subside by October 2020, and the number of cumulative confirmed cases will reach about 55,000.